Nearly 40 cities aim at the local production capacity target of the robot industry far exceeding the national plan

　　robotThe industry is rapidly rising in China.

At the same time, many authoritative organizations predict that by the end of the “13th Five-Year Plan”, the output value of my country’s Robot Industry cluster is expected to exceed 100 billion yuan.

However, according to some local plans, this goal can even be achieved by only one city. Because many cities have set the target of the output value of Robots in 2020 at 100 billion yuan or even higher.

21st Century Business Herald reporters counted 10 major cities in the robotics industry in the four major robotics industry clusters around the Bohai Sea, the Yangtze River Delta, the Pearl River Delta and the Midwest, including Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Shanghai, Nanjing, Tianjin, Shenyang, Chongqing, etc. The quantitative target of the sales revenue or output value of the robot industry (including intelligent manufacturing) in 2020 has reached more than 900 billion yuan. If the planning of the robot industry in various places is included, the total planned output value of robots in 2020 must have exceeded one trillion yuan.

This brings up a question: Will there be disorderly competition in the robotics industry like the photovoltaic industry, which will eventually lead to the low-end of the high-end industry, and even the bad money drives out the good money?

fiery layout

As one of the important starting points for Industrial upgrading, all regions are scrambling to deploy the robot industry. But behind the chasing frenzy, a question has surfaced: Has the robotics industry overheated?

According to data from the China Robot Industry Alliance, in the past two years, a total of 77 robot support policies have been issued in various regions, and more than 40 robot industrial parks have been built or under construction.

New news about the development of the robot industry is frequently reported in various places, and the grand goals and unprecedented policy efforts are impressive. According to the incomplete statistics of 21st Century Business Herald reporters, there are nearly 40 cities in the country that regard the robot industry as the key development direction of the local area. For example, Nanjing proposes an “advanced base for China’s robotics industry”; Chongqing proposes a “domestic important robotics industry base with global influence”; Dongguan proposes a “pioneering city for China’s robotics industry”.

The 21st Century Business Herald reporter found after statistics that a series of quantitative targets such as production capacity, output value and number of enterprises in the robotics industry planning in various places have far exceeded the national “13th Five-Year Plan” related targets and the industry’s pre-judgment needs.

Specifically, by 2020, Chongqing’s goal is that the city’s robot industry sales revenue will reach 100 billion yuan; Dongguan plans to have a robot and intelligent equipment industry output value of about 100 billion yuan. In addition, Nanjing proposes that by 2020, a national robot collaborative innovation center and an industry-university-research alliance will be established, with an annual sales scale of 100 billion yuan; Luoyang proposes that the main business income of the robot and intelligent equipment industry will exceed 200 billion yuan.

There are many more cities with ambitious robotics industry goals.However, according to the country’s “Robot Industry Development Plan (2016-2020)”, by 2020 my country’s own brandindustryThe annual output of robots is planned to reach 100,000 units, and the annual sales revenue of service robots exceeds 30 billion yuan.

The 21st Century Business Herald reporter found after inquiring about the information that at present, the price of ordinary welding robots and AGV robots that are widely used in China is about 200,000 yuan. In the actual “robot generation” cases that the reporter has contacted before, there are even about 100,000 robots.

If one Industrial Robot is calculated at 200,000-500,000 yuan, at the end of the “13th Five-Year Plan”, the annual sales revenue of my country’s industrial robots is only about 20-50 billion yuan. With service robots, etc., the total scale should be 100 billion yuan. Yuan or so. In the earlier predictions of the National Manufacturing Power Construction Strategy Advisory Committee and other institutions, the output value of my country’s robots at the end of the “13th Five-Year Plan” is also at the level of 100 billion. This figure is far from the overall output value of more than one trillion yuan planned in various places.

Does this planning gap mean that there is a tendency to overheat the “launched” robot projects in various places?

Zhang Xu, secretary general of the Guangdong Robot Industry Association, told the 21st Century Business Herald reporter that at present, there is a lack of strict and unified standards for robots, and the statistical calibers at all levels vary.automationIndustries and applications are also included in the field of robotics, aiming to build momentum.

However, behind these figures, there is a very obvious trend of local “going fast”.

“Industrial robots are not like automobiles. The demand for industrial robots cannot be tens of millions of units a year. It is good to have tens of thousands of them.” Song Jian, assistant director of the Intelligent Manufacturing Engineering Center of Guangzhou CNC Equipment Co., Ltd., told the 21st Century Business Herald reporter that although the current economy is booming Transformation and upgrading need to create a huge robot market, but the space is not unlimited, and “going fast” in various places can easily lead to overcapacity.

A number of industry experts also said in an exclusive interview with a reporter from the 21st Century Business Herald that the robot industry is in the stage of exploration and development and must be alert to the risk of overheating. All over the place, it will easily lead to the phenomenon of resource dispersion, duplication of construction and low-end competition. The industry and the government should think calmly in a timely manner.

Subsidy chaos

It should be pointed out that in this “competition” of the robot industry, many places offer attractive “subsidy” policies, both for robot manufacturers and for “robot generation”, and the subsidy amount also ranges from tens of thousands to above. Don’t wait.

For example, Hangzhou has made it clear that the maximum subsidy amount for a single project that meets certain conditions of “replacing humans with robots” can reach 20 million yuan; the policies issued by Yantai stipulate that the first (set) of Robotic equipment developed and produced by enterprises in the city will be subsidized up to 1 million yuan. Yuan.

Zhong Yonglong, the general consultant of Dongguan Guangze Auto Trim Co., Ltd. told the 21st Century Business Herald reporter that the company has invested tens of millions in recent years to carry out “robot generation”, and only recently received the latest subsidy of about 500,000 yuan .

This is the effect the government hopes to see after “smashing in” real money. However, this “subsidy” war also has certain hidden concerns. A recent research report on robots written by the Guangdong Provincial Government Development Research Center pointed out that government industry “subsidies” may lead to a large influx of foreign robot companies, thereby squeezing the development space of domestic local robot companies.

The bigger problem is that this has also caused some robot manufacturers to “live off” with subsidies and have no intention of specializing in technical research, resulting in low-end products flooding the market. Even, the emergence of bad money drives out good money, causing some robot manufacturers lacking technology to “rely on” in the industry.

An industry insider told the 21st Century Business Herald reporter that due to immature technology, the profits of many domestic robot companies are actually being consumed by repeated revisions to the project, and many robot companies may lose money if they leave the subsidy.

After all, having the core technology is the key.

Zhang Xu believes that how to increase the confidence of manufacturing business owners in domestic robots is the basis for domestic robot applications and the key to the development of the domestic robot industry. At present, the focus of the domestic robot industry is to make up for the shortcomings of talents, technology and information communication and docking platforms as soon as possible.

China is the world’s largest consumer market for industrial robots. In 2015, the country’s new demand for industrial robots reached 72,800 units, accounting for 25% of the world’s total. The “White Paper on the Development of China’s Robot Industry (2016 Edition)” released in March predicts that the newly installed capacity of industrial robots in my country in 2016 is expected to increase by 30% year-on-year.

“Domestic robots are on the rise, but there is a long way to go. If localities can change from competing for layout to joint technical research on domestic robots and collaborative innovation in the industrial chain, it will be an opportunity for domestic robots to accelerate.” Zhang Xu said.

When many places are stepping up the launch of the robot industry, how to avoid low-level repetitive construction of high-end industries is a question that must be answered.

http://stock.sohu.com/20160614/n454234133.shtml stock.sohu.com false 21st Century Economic Report http://epaper.21jingji.com/html/2016-06/14/content_41628.htm report 3667 New news about the development of the robot industry is frequently reported, and the grand goals and unprecedented policy efforts are impressive. According to the incomplete statistics of the 21st Century Business Herald reporter, there are nearly 40 cities in the country that regard the robot industry as a local area (Editor in charge: Newshoo)